Nerva CF vs Matalascañas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.5%
31.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+174%
+179%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nerva CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
NER
0 - 5
CAS
7%
13%
80%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CDC
2 - 1
NER
86%
10%
4%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
NER
2 - 6
HER
33%
22%
45%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ARA
2 - 3
NER
78%
14%
9%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
NER
0 - 3
SAN
59%
19%
22%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Matalascañas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
MAT
0 - 4
GBL
12%
16%
72%
|
5 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CAS
5 - 0
MAT
90%
8%
3%
|
6 | 16 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MAT
3 - 3
VIL
12%
15%
73%
|
5 | 13 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CDC
3 - 0
MAT
87%
9%
4%
|
5 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MAT
1 - 2
SAG
55%
19%
26%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |