Nerva CF vs Aroche CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
56.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-93%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nerva CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 1
NER
47%
23%
30%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
NER
2 - 0
REP
51%
22%
27%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CRU
1 - 0
NER
56%
21%
24%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
NER
2 - 0
BEA
48%
23%
29%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
NER
3 - 2
VAL
29%
22%
49%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Aroche CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ARO
6 - 0
VAL
75%
14%
11%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ROS
2 - 2
ARO
49%
24%
28%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ARO
4 - 0
VIL
79%
13%
8%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ALO
1 - 1
ARO
33%
22%
45%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
ARO
2 - 0
CDZ
67%
18%
16%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |