Neroca vs Mohammedan SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.6%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
5%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
68.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.7%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
8º
12º
12º
52
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
86.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
97.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
81.5% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
81.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neroca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
RAJ
5 - 1
NER
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
NER
2 - 3
CHU
13%
21%
65%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
KAS
3 - 1
NER
31%
21%
47%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
NER
1 - 2
DFC
19%
22%
59%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
NER
0 - 2
SHI
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Mohammedan SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
MOH
3 - 2
CHU
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
MOH
3 - 1
NAM
79%
14%
7%
|
54 | 22 | 32 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
GFC
2 - 3
MOH
59%
23%
18%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
SDF
1 - 1
MOH
57%
24%
19%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
TRA
0 - 2
MOH
21%
25%
55%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | +1 |