Neroca vs Churchill Brothers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neroca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
NER
0 - 0
AIZ
50%
25%
26%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
NER
1 - 0
GFC
51%
25%
24%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2018 |
CHU
0 - 1
NER
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
NER
0 - 1
MIN
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
NER
0 - 2
SHI
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Churchill Brothers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
PAI
2 - 1
CHU
47%
22%
31%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2018 |
CHU
1 - 0
AIZ
46%
21%
33%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2018 |
CHU
2 - 1
MIN
51%
20%
29%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2018 |
CHU
0 - 1
NER
47%
24%
29%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2018 |
CHU
2 - 0
PAI
60%
18%
21%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +2 |