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Croatia Third Division. Sur, Matchday 14

Neretva vs Sloga Mravince analysis

Neretva Sloga Mravince
11 ELO 31
35% Tilt 12%
10338º General ELO ranking 4714º
128º Country ELO ranking 36º
ELO win probability
47.2%
Neretva
24.3%
Draw
28.5%
Sloga Mravince

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
Neretva
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
28.5%
Win probability
Sloga Mravince
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Neretva
+40%
+40%
Sloga Mravince

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
NK Jadran LP
65
65
100%
Hrvatski Vitez
60
60
50%
Hrvace
60
60
50%
HNK Zadar
59
59
100%
Neretva
55
55
100%
Split
52
52
50%
Junak Sinj
52
52
50%
NK Uskok Klis
51
51
100%
Sloga Mravince
50
50
100%
Primorac Biograd
10º
48
48
10º
100%
Zagora Unešić
11º
44
44
11º
100%
GOŠK DBK
12º
43
43
12º
50%
Zmaj Makarska
13º
43
43
13º
50%
Neretvanac
14º
38
38
14º
100%
NK Kamen
15º
37
37
15º
100%
Vodice
16º
33
33
16º
50%
Urania
17º
33
33
17º
50%
NK Otok
18º
26
26
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Neretva
Sloga Mravince
Champion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Neretva
NER
Sloga Mravince
SMR
HNK Zadar
HNK
Vodice
VOD
Hrvace
HRV
NK Kamen
KAM
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Neretva
Neretva
1%
X%
2%
ELO NER ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Oct. 2021
USK
NK Uskok Klis
2 - 1
Neretva
NER
47%
27%
26%
162 255 93 -1
27 Oct. 2021
NER
Neretva
2 - 1
Hrvatski Vitez
NKH
41%
28%
31%
160 273 -113 +1
23 Oct. 2021
JAD
NK Jadran LP
0 - 1
Neretva
NER
47%
27%
26%
159 243 84 +1
16 Oct. 2021
NER
Neretva
0 - 1
Split
SPL
40%
28%
32%
160 378 -218 -1
08 Oct. 2021
OTO
NK Otok
2 - 4
Neretva
NER
46%
27%
27%
158 135 -23 +2

Matches

Sloga Mravince
Sloga Mravince
1%
X%
2%
ELO SMR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Oct. 2021
NKH
Hrvatski Vitez
0 - 0
Sloga Mravince
SMR
41%
28%
31%
409 272 -137 0
27 Oct. 2021
SMR
Sloga Mravince
4 - 1
Split
SPL
47%
27%
26%
406 379 27 +2
23 Oct. 2021
MAK
Zmaj Makarska
1 - 1
Sloga Mravince
SMR
39%
28%
33%
407 180 -227 0
17 Oct. 2021
SMR
Sloga Mravince
1 - 0
Neretvanac
NER
51%
26%
24%
406 250 156 +1
10 Oct. 2021
UBV
Urania
0 - 3
Sloga Mravince
SMR
41%
27%
32%
403 240 -163 +2