Neretva vs HNK Zadar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
50.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
4º
14º
7º
60
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neretva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
NKG
1 - 0
NER
26%
22%
52%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
NER
1 - 1
ZAG
44%
24%
32%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
VOD
3 - 1
NER
31%
22%
47%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
NER
1 - 0
GOS
59%
22%
19%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
NER
0 - 2
NKG
22%
21%
58%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
HNK Zadar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
HNK
3 - 2
MAK
79%
15%
7%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
JUN
1 - 1
HNK
28%
25%
46%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
HNK
1 - 1
NKH
71%
18%
11%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SPL
1 - 2
HNK
29%
26%
46%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
HNK
5 - 1
NER
78%
15%
8%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |