Nelson Suburbs vs Coastal Spirit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
23%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
GIA
1 - 3
NSF
32%
21%
47%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
FCN
0 - 6
NSF
84%
11%
5%
|
26 | 59 | 33 | +3 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
CAS
4 - 1
NSF
90%
7%
2%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
SUF
1 - 4
NSF
19%
19%
62%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
NSF
2 - 2
NOM
80%
12%
8%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Coastal Spirit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
PAS
0 - 7
COA
9%
14%
77%
|
23 | 7 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
COA
0 - 4
CHR
21%
20%
59%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
NOM
3 - 3
COA
20%
20%
61%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
COA
2 - 2
MOS
40%
21%
39%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
COA
3 - 1
WMK
79%
14%
8%
|
25 | 8 | 17 | 0 |