Nelas vs Sátão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
46%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nelas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 0
NEL
66%
19%
16%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
RES
5 - 1
NEL
70%
17%
13%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
NEL
3 - 0
OFR
14%
20%
67%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | +4 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
NEL
1 - 1
SAM
22%
22%
56%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
LAM
0 - 1
NEL
51%
22%
27%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sátão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
FAV
2 - 1
SAT
50%
22%
28%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
SAT
2 - 0
SAM
58%
21%
22%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
LAM
2 - 2
SAT
16%
20%
65%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SAT
5 - 6
CAS
37%
24%
39%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CAR
3 - 1
SAT
46%
23%
31%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |