Malaysian Super League Round 4

Negeri Sembilan vs Kuching City analysis

Negeri Sembilan Kuching City
50 ELO 56
7.6% Tilt -4.1%
5433º General ELO ranking 3780º
16º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
32.1%
Negeri Sembilan
25.4%
Draw
42.4%
Kuching City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.1%
Win probability
Negeri Sembilan
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
42.4%
Win probability
Kuching City
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Negeri Sembilan
-3%
+26%
Kuching City

Points and table prediction

Negeri Sembilan
Their league position
Kuching City
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
12º
10º
4
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Johor FC
12
49
47.5%
Selangor
6
43
16.5%
Kuala Lumpur
10
42
15%
Terengganu
7
41
15%
Sabah
3
38
10.5%
Kuching City
4
33
11%
DPMM FC
13º
1
32
16%
Imigresen
12º
1
30
14%
Melaka
3
29
17.5%
Negeri Sembilan
4
29
10º
11.5%
Penang FC
11º
1
23
11º
17%
PDRM
10º
3
22
12º
17.5%
Kelantan United
5
17
13º
43%
Expected probabilities
Negeri Sembilan
Kuching City
AFC Champions League Elite
1% 1%
AFC Champions League 2
2% 4.5%
Mid-table
97% 94.5%

ELO progression

Negeri Sembilan
Kuching City
Imigresen
Selangor
Sabah
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Negeri Sembilan
Negeri Sembilan
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Aug. 2025
NEG
Negeri Sembilan
2 - 1
Selangor
SEL
20%
22%
59%
49 60 11 0
18 Aug. 2025
NEG
Negeri Sembilan
5 - 0
PDRM
PDR
34%
23%
43%
47 50 3 +2
12 Aug. 2025
JOH
Johor FC
5 - 3
Negeri Sembilan
NEG
82%
12%
6%
47 60 13 0
28 Jul. 2025
NEG
Negeri Sembilan
5 - 1
Tanjong Pagar
TAN
49%
22%
29%
47 41 6 0
21 Jul. 2025
NEG
Negeri Sembilan
3 - 0
Semen Padang
SEM
36%
25%
39%
46 51 5 +1

Matches

Kuching City
Kuching City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Aug. 2025
KFA
Kuching City
0 - 1
Johor FC
JOH
30%
26%
44%
57 60 3 0
16 Aug. 2025
DPM
DPMM FC
3 - 2
Kuching City
KFA
42%
23%
35%
57 53 4 0
09 Aug. 2025
KFA
Kuching City
4 - 0
Kelantan United
MPK
80%
14%
6%
57 33 24 0
27 Jul. 2025
PER
Persita
2 - 1
Kuching City
KFA
30%
24%
46%
57 51 6 0
20 Apr. 2025
NEG
Negeri Sembilan
1 - 3
Kuching City
KFA
26%
26%
49%
57 47 10 0