Neftekhimik vs Arsenal Tula analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
41.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftekhimik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2014 |
NEF
2 - 1
ROT
38%
28%
34%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2014 |
TOR
2 - 1
NEF
57%
25%
18%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
SAL
0 - 0
NEF
55%
25%
21%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
NEF
0 - 2
VLA
34%
29%
38%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
BAL
1 - 0
NEF
52%
27%
21%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal Tula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
UFA
3 - 4
ARS
38%
28%
34%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
ARS
3 - 0
ANG
70%
20%
11%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
ARS
1 - 0
KHI
72%
19%
9%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
YAR
5 - 0
ARS
46%
28%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
ARS
2 - 0
GAZ
54%
26%
20%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |