PFL Round 15

Neftchi vs Xorazm analysis

Neftchi Xorazm
67 ELO 57
-3.2% Tilt -17%
1992º General ELO ranking 3527º
Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
59.9%
Neftchi
22.8%
Draw
17.3%
Xorazm

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
Neftchi
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.3%
Win probability
Xorazm
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Neftchi
+20%
+14%
Xorazm

Points and table prediction

Neftchi
Their league position
Xorazm
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
10º
19
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Nasaf Qarshi
40
55
30.5%
Dinamo Samarqand
37
55
26%
Neftchi
39
54
16%
FC AGMK
34
54
18%
Pakhtakor
33
51
21.5%
Bunyodkor
32
49
17.5%
Navbahor
31
46
32.5%
Andijon
10º
21
38
18%
Surkhon Termez
23
38
19.5%
Qizilqum
22
37
10º
13.5%
Sogdiana
11º
20
35
11º
16%
Mash' al
14º
18
33
12º
17%
Xorazm
12º
19
31
13º
16.5%
Kokand 1912
13º
18
30
14º
20.5%
Buxoro
15º
15
29
15º
32.5%
Shurtan
16º
10
19
16º
80.5%
Expected probabilities
Neftchi
Xorazm
AFC Champions League Elite
25% 0%
AFC Champions League 2
25% 0%
Mid-table
50% 45.5%
Relegation play-offs
0% 49%
Relegation
0% 5.5%

ELO progression

Neftchi
Xorazm
Qizilqum
FC AGMK
Mash' al
Pakhtakor
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Neftchi
Neftchi
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jul. 2025
DSA
Dinamo Samarqand
0 - 2
Neftchi
NEF
50%
26%
24%
67 67 0 0
28 Jun. 2025
QIZ
Qizilqum
1 - 1
Neftchi
NEF
37%
28%
35%
67 61 6 0
24 Jun. 2025
NEF
Neftchi
0 - 1
Mash' al
MAS
49%
24%
27%
67 66 1 0
20 Jun. 2025
NEF
Neftchi
1 - 0
Buxoro
BUX
57%
24%
19%
67 62 5 0
15 Jun. 2025
TER
Surkhon Termez
0 - 0
Neftchi
NEF
45%
27%
28%
67 67 0 0

Matches

Xorazm
Xorazm
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jul. 2025
XOR
Xorazm
1 - 3
Navbahor
NAV
22%
24%
54%
58 68 10 0
26 Jun. 2025
XOR
Xorazm
2 - 3
Andijon
AND
25%
27%
49%
58 67 9 0
19 Jun. 2025
SOG
Sogdiana
1 - 0
Xorazm
XOR
57%
24%
20%
59 67 8 -1
15 Jun. 2025
XOR
Xorazm
1 - 2
Dinamo Samarqand
DSA
24%
26%
51%
59 67 8 0
06 Jun. 2025
QIZ
Qizilqum
0 - 3
Xorazm
XOR
56%
23%
21%
57 63 6 +2