Neftchi vs Xorazm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
12.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2009 |
NEF
1 - 1
BUS
55%
22%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2009 |
MAS
1 - 2
NEF
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2009 |
NEF
0 - 3
BUN
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
NEF
1 - 0
ALT
87%
10%
4%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2009 |
ALA
5 - 1
NEF
34%
26%
41%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Xorazm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
XOR
2 - 0
QIZ
24%
24%
52%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2009 |
DSA
1 - 1
XOR
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
XOR
2 - 2
SOG
30%
27%
43%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
0 - 1
XOR
68%
20%
13%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 2006 |
XOR
0 - 5
BUX
22%
24%
54%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |