Neftchi vs Qizilqum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
SHO
2 - 0
NEF
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
NEF
3 - 0
NAV
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
BUN
2 - 1
NEF
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
NEF
4 - 0
MET
57%
22%
21%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
BUX
1 - 1
NEF
35%
28%
37%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Qizilqum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
QIZ
0 - 4
PAK
37%
28%
36%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
AND
5 - 1
QIZ
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
QIZ
1 - 1
MAS
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
QIZ
1 - 1
FKL
38%
26%
36%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
SHO
2 - 0
QIZ
55%
23%
21%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |