Eredivisie Round 27

NEC Nijmegen vs PSV analysis

NEC Nijmegen PSV
83 ELO 88
7.4% Tilt 15.3%
180º General ELO ranking 104º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
24.5%
NEC Nijmegen
22.3%
Draw
53.2%
PSV

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.5%
Win probability
NEC Nijmegen
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
53.2%
Win probability
PSV
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
NEC Nijmegen
-1%
+9%
PSV

Points and table prediction

NEC Nijmegen
Their league position
PSV
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
13º
91
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
PSV
91
91
100%
Feyenoord
84
84
100%
Twente
69
69
100%
AZ Alkmaar
65
65
100%
Ajax
56
56
100%
NEC Nijmegen
53
53
100%
Utrecht
50
50
100%
Sparta Rotterdam
49
49
100%
Go Ahead Eagles
46
46
100%
Fortuna Sittard
10º
38
38
10º
100%
Heerenveen
11º
37
37
11º
100%
PEC Zwolle
12º
36
36
12º
100%
Almere City
13º
34
34
13º
100%
Heracles
14º
33
33
14º
100%
RKC Waalwijk
15º
29
29
15º
0%
Excelsior
16º
29
29
16º
0%
Vitesse
18º
6
24
17º
100%
FC Volendam
17º
19
19
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
NEC Nijmegen
PSV
Champion
0% 100%
Champions League
0% 0%
Champions League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Europa League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

NEC Nijmegen
PSV
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Mar. 2024
UTR
Utrecht
1 - 0
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
44%
24%
32%
83 84 1 0
10 Mar. 2024
NEC
NEC Nijmegen
2 - 0
Heerenveen
SCH
53%
23%
24%
82 79 3 +1
01 Mar. 2024
VOL
FC Volendam
2 - 5
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
18%
22%
60%
82 67 15 0
27 Feb. 2024
BVO
Cambuur
1 - 2
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
30%
23%
47%
82 72 10 0
24 Feb. 2024
NEC
NEC Nijmegen
2 - 0
Sparta Rotterdam
SPA
52%
24%
24%
81 80 1 +1

Matches

PSV
PSV
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Mar. 2024
PSV
PSV
1 - 0
Twente
TWE
48%
24%
28%
89 89 0 0
13 Mar. 2024
BVB
B. Dortmund
2 - 0
PSV
PSV
70%
17%
13%
89 94 5 0
08 Mar. 2024
GAE
Go Ahead Eagles
0 - 1
PSV
PSV
20%
21%
59%
89 80 9 0
03 Mar. 2024
PSV
PSV
2 - 2
Feyenoord
FEY
44%
24%
33%
89 89 0 0
24 Feb. 2024
ZWO
PEC Zwolle
1 - 7
PSV
PSV
18%
21%
61%
89 79 10 0