NEC Nijmegen vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
38%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
GAE
2 - 2
NEC
29%
27%
45%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
NEC
1 - 1
ZWO
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
NEC
0 - 2
RSO
25%
26%
49%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
ZUL
5 - 1
NEC
49%
23%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
ACH
5 - 1
NEC
13%
18%
69%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
SCH
2 - 2
UTR
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
AZA
2 - 2
SCH
59%
21%
20%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
SCH
0 - 2
RSO
29%
26%
45%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
SCH
1 - 0
GEN
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
AND
3 - 1
SCH
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |