NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1996 |
NEC
2 - 2
UTR
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
VOL
1 - 0
NEC
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1996 |
NEC
1 - 1
SCH
31%
25%
44%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
SPA
1 - 0
NEC
77%
15%
8%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1996 |
SCH
1 - 1
NEC
78%
14%
8%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
GRO
2 - 0
FOR
70%
18%
12%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1996 |
FOR
1 - 1
PSV
13%
19%
68%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1996 |
FOR
0 - 3
GRA
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
RJC
0 - 1
FOR
78%
15%
7%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
FOR
1 - 1
VOL
46%
27%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |