NEC Nijmegen vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
31.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
VIT
4 - 1
NEC
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
NEC
3 - 2
HER
37%
26%
37%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
GRO
1 - 2
NEC
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
NEC
0 - 0
RJC
50%
25%
26%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
AZA
0 - 2
NEC
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
UTR
1 - 1
TWE
27%
24%
49%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
RKC
4 - 0
UTR
38%
28%
35%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
WIL
1 - 5
UTR
29%
27%
44%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
UTR
1 - 0
GRO
60%
22%
19%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ADO
1 - 2
UTR
40%
28%
32%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |