NEC Nijmegen vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
42.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2007 |
WIL
3 - 0
NEC
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
NEC
2 - 2
VVV
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
NEC
0 - 2
FEY
18%
22%
60%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
GRA
1 - 1
NEC
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
SPA
1 - 0
NEC
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2007 |
TWE
2 - 0
GRA
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2007 |
AJA
2 - 2
TWE
72%
18%
11%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
SCH
1 - 2
TWE
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
TWE
1 - 1
VVV
68%
19%
12%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
VIT
2 - 2
TWE
35%
28%
37%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |