NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
26.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
TWE
3 - 0
NEC
57%
24%
20%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
NEC
1 - 5
AJA
14%
22%
64%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
GRO
2 - 0
NEC
50%
26%
25%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
VIT
2 - 1
NEC
60%
23%
18%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
NEC
0 - 3
UTR
27%
27%
46%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 0
VIT
27%
25%
48%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2017 |
SPA
2 - 3
EXC
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 3
UTR
23%
25%
52%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
ZWO
1 - 1
EXC
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 1
AJA
13%
23%
64%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | +2 |