NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
NEC
0 - 4
PSV
22%
27%
51%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
NEC
1 - 1
ADO
58%
24%
19%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
WIL
1 - 1
NEC
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
NEC
1 - 1
UTR
50%
27%
23%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
NEC
0 - 2
HER
58%
24%
18%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
FCE
4 - 2
EXC
27%
26%
48%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2009 |
EXC
3 - 0
ZWO
45%
25%
29%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
HFC
0 - 1
EXC
32%
26%
42%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2009 |
EXC
2 - 1
RBC
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2009 |
EXC
2 - 0
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |