NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
26%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
RJC
2 - 1
NEC
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
NEC
1 - 2
FEY
24%
25%
51%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
PSV
2 - 1
NEC
75%
16%
9%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2003 |
NEC
1 - 0
WIL
41%
26%
34%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2003 |
NEC
1 - 0
GRA
62%
21%
16%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2003 |
EXC
0 - 1
ZWO
54%
22%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
AJA
2 - 1
EXC
78%
14%
8%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
EXC
2 - 6
FEY
23%
23%
54%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2003 |
EXC
1 - 3
UTR
42%
24%
34%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
EXC
1 - 2
RKC
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |