NEC Nijmegen vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
70.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
NEC
1 - 2
RJC
43%
26%
32%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
FEY
0 - 1
NEC
59%
23%
19%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
NEC
3 - 1
UTR
35%
28%
36%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2011 |
NEC
1 - 0
VOL
49%
24%
27%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
ADO
1 - 0
NEC
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2011 |
LYO
0 - 0
AJA
38%
24%
38%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
AJA
2 - 2
NAC
78%
15%
8%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
UTR
6 - 4
AJA
16%
20%
64%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
AJA
4 - 0
DZG
64%
20%
15%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
RJC
0 - 4
AJA
15%
19%
66%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | +1 |