NEC Nijmegen vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
70%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
VVV
2 - 0
NEC
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
ADO
2 - 3
NEC
34%
28%
38%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
NEC
0 - 0
AZA
24%
24%
52%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
HER
2 - 0
NEC
46%
27%
28%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
NEC
0 - 0
FEY
26%
25%
49%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
AJA
2 - 0
FEY
68%
18%
14%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
AJA
4 - 0
HER
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
WIL
0 - 2
AJA
13%
18%
70%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
AJA
7 - 0
VVV
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
ADO
0 - 1
AJA
11%
17%
72%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |