NEC Nijmegen vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
58.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
AZA
1 - 0
NEC
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
NEC
0 - 0
ADO
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2008 |
NEC
2 - 0
UDI
30%
24%
45%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
WIL
1 - 2
NEC
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
NEC
1 - 2
UTR
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
AJA
3 - 0
ADO
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
GRA
0 - 6
AJA
14%
20%
66%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2008 |
AJA
2 - 2
SLP
74%
16%
11%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2008 |
AJA
3 - 0
NAC
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
VOL
1 - 2
AJA
17%
21%
62%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |