NEC Nijmegen vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
60.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
PSV
3 - 0
NEC
77%
15%
8%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2004 |
RJC
4 - 0
NEC
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2004 |
NEC
4 - 0
WIL
36%
26%
38%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
NAC
5 - 2
NEC
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
NEC
0 - 2
AZA
38%
25%
36%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
AJA
1 - 1
RBC
79%
14%
8%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
FEY
1 - 1
AJA
47%
24%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
AJA
2 - 1
GRO
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
AZA
1 - 1
AJA
21%
24%
56%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
AJA
5 - 0
VIT
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |