NEC Nijmegen vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
60.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1999 |
NEC
0 - 1
TWE
32%
26%
42%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
VIT
5 - 1
NEC
78%
15%
8%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1999 |
NEC
2 - 0
BOS
37%
25%
38%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
GRA
2 - 2
NEC
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
RJC
4 - 3
NEC
75%
16%
9%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1999 |
AJA
4 - 1
FOR
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
WIL
3 - 6
AJA
29%
24%
48%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1999 |
DUK
1 - 3
AJA
16%
21%
63%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1999 |
AJA
3 - 1
VIT
72%
16%
12%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
RKC
1 - 1
AJA
21%
22%
56%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |