NEC Nijmegen vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
67%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
NEC
2 - 1
TWE
14%
24%
62%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1981 |
ZWO
1 - 0
NEC
56%
26%
18%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1981 |
NEC
0 - 4
WIL
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1981 |
FEY
2 - 2
NEC
86%
10%
4%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1981 |
NEC
2 - 1
MVV
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1981 |
AJA
4 - 1
HFC
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1981 |
AZA
1 - 0
AJA
52%
22%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1981 |
AJA
3 - 2
RJC
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1981 |
UTR
3 - 5
AJA
26%
24%
50%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1981 |
AJA
4 - 1
GAE
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |