NEC Nijmegen vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
60.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1979 |
NEC
3 - 1
SPA
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
EXC
4 - 0
NEC
49%
25%
27%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1979 |
ADO
2 - 0
NEC
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1979 |
NEC
2 - 1
MVV
51%
27%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1979 |
PSV
1 - 0
NEC
80%
13%
7%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
AJA
2 - 0
ZWO
89%
7%
4%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1979 |
AJA
10 - 0
OMO
94%
4%
2%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
AJA
4 - 0
RJC
81%
12%
7%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1979 |
AJA
8 - 1
HJK
95%
4%
1%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1979 |
FEY
4 - 0
AJA
50%
24%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |