Eredivisie Round 25

NEC Nijmegen vs Ajax analysis

NEC Nijmegen Ajax
75 ELO 89
-20% Tilt -6.9%
179º General ELO ranking 104º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
16.5%
NEC Nijmegen
26.3%
Draw
57.2%
Ajax

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.5%
Win probability
NEC Nijmegen
0.66
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
57.2%
Win probability
Ajax
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
17.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
NEC Nijmegen
+4%
+1%
Ajax

ELO progression

NEC Nijmegen
Ajax
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Mar. 1972
BOS
Den Bosch
1 - 1
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
42%
27%
31%
75 61 14 0
05 Mar. 1972
TEL
SC Telstar
2 - 2
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
45%
29%
27%
75 68 7 0
27 Feb. 1972
NEC
NEC Nijmegen
3 - 1
Utrecht
UTR
36%
26%
39%
74 78 4 +1
06 Feb. 1972
NEC
NEC Nijmegen
2 - 0
FC Volendam
VOL
60%
25%
15%
74 62 12 0
16 Jan. 1972
FEY
Feyenoord
5 - 1
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
80%
14%
6%
74 88 14 0

Matches

Ajax
Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Mar. 1972
AJA
Ajax
4 - 1
PSV
PSV
77%
14%
9%
88 84 4 0
08 Mar. 1972
AJA
Ajax
2 - 1
Arsenal
ARS
65%
19%
16%
89 90 1 -1
03 Mar. 1972
AJA
Ajax
7 - 0
Groningen
GRO
88%
9%
3%
88 69 19 +1
26 Feb. 1972
EXC
Excelsior
0 - 4
Ajax
AJA
10%
17%
73%
88 64 24 0
06 Feb. 1972
NAC
NAC Breda
2 - 5
Ajax
AJA
21%
26%
53%
88 69 19 0