Neath Athletic vs Bala Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neath Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
ABE
1 - 1
NEA
59%
23%
19%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
PRE
1 - 1
NEA
43%
26%
32%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2010 |
NEA
2 - 2
HAV
54%
22%
24%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
NEA
5 - 0
NEW
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2010 |
HAV
2 - 1
NEA
38%
25%
38%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2010 |
BAL
2 - 1
PRE
36%
24%
41%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
NEW
1 - 1
BAL
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
PRE
2 - 0
BAL
53%
23%
24%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
BAL
0 - 1
HAV
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2010 |
BAL
2 - 2
PRE
39%
23%
38%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |