Náxara vs La Calzada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.8%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
7.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náxara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
NAX
3 - 1
SMC
80%
14%
6%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
VAR
2 - 2
NAX
45%
25%
30%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
NAX
0 - 0
HAR
19%
23%
58%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
AGO
0 - 3
NAX
24%
25%
50%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
NAX
1 - 0
ARN
54%
24%
23%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
La Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
ALD
1 - 0
CDF
49%
23%
28%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
CDF
1 - 2
CAL
35%
26%
39%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
ALF
1 - 0
CDF
85%
11%
5%
|
18 | 45 | 27 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
SMC
3 - 1
CDF
23%
23%
54%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
CDF
2 - 6
VAR
24%
22%
54%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |