Náxara vs Calasancio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
14.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.7%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.7%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.8%
3.2%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náxara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
AGO
0 - 4
NAX
19%
22%
59%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
NAX
7 - 1
TED
87%
10%
3%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
PRA
0 - 4
NAX
7%
17%
76%
|
36 | 14 | 22 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
NAX
0 - 0
VAR
56%
21%
23%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ANG
1 - 2
NAX
45%
24%
31%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Calasancio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 0
ARN
63%
21%
16%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 1
AGO
28%
26%
46%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
TED
1 - 1
CAL
34%
27%
39%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 1
PRA
70%
18%
11%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
VAR
2 - 2
CAL
89%
8%
3%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | +1 |