Náxara vs Calasancio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.8%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
5.7%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náxara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
CLH
2 - 1
NAX
57%
23%
20%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
ANG
2 - 0
NAX
56%
22%
21%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
NAX
3 - 0
CAS
83%
12%
5%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
YAG
0 - 4
NAX
24%
24%
52%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
NAX
2 - 0
VIA
78%
15%
8%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Calasancio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2014 |
CAL
0 - 0
HAR
9%
18%
74%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
BAL
0 - 3
CAL
48%
25%
27%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CAL
0 - 2
ALF
11%
19%
70%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
SDL
4 - 0
CAL
88%
9%
3%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 0
ARN
61%
23%
17%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |