Navua vs Lautoka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
30.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
NAD
2 - 5
NAV
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
NAV
4 - 0
TAV
42%
25%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
NAV
0 - 2
BAF
47%
26%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
NAV
1 - 0
TAV
44%
25%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
NAD
1 - 5
NAV
48%
25%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lautoka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
LAU
3 - 3
SUV
60%
21%
19%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
NAD
0 - 0
LAU
49%
24%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
LAU
0 - 2
LAB
56%
21%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
LAU
2 - 0
SAV
59%
20%
21%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
LAU
0 - 6
BAF
61%
21%
19%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |