Navia CF vs UD Castros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
14.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+282%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navia CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
RPR
2 - 0
NAI
25%
21%
54%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
NAI
6 - 2
BRA
83%
11%
6%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
VER
0 - 2
NAI
16%
19%
65%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
NAI
1 - 0
RAI
70%
16%
14%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
NAI
6 - 0
SEP
81%
12%
7%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
UD Castros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
CAS
2 - 1
RAI
29%
22%
49%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
SEP
1 - 2
CAS
38%
21%
41%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
CAS
0 - 0
MOS
30%
22%
48%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
HIS
2 - 2
CAS
39%
21%
39%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CAS
2 - 1
CDP
14%
18%
68%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | +2 |