Navecortine vs Franciacorta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
31.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navecortine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
DAK
0 - 0
NAV
61%
21%
18%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
NAV
1 - 1
BED
43%
24%
34%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
NAV
0 - 1
SZE
68%
18%
14%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ROD
1 - 2
NAV
36%
24%
40%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
NAV
0 - 0
CAS
51%
23%
26%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Franciacorta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 3
ADR
40%
23%
37%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
ADR
2 - 2
GUS
60%
20%
19%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ADR
0 - 2
VOB
42%
23%
35%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
CAL
4 - 4
ADR
46%
23%
31%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ADR
1 - 3
CAL
50%
22%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |