Las Navas vs El Espinar-San Rafael analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
65.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2620%
+91%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Las Navas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
VDB
6 - 0
LAS
79%
14%
7%
|
7 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
LAS
0 - 4
CAT
13%
19%
68%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
CUE
5 - 0
LAS
78%
14%
7%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
NAV
4 - 1
LAS
77%
15%
9%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
LAS
1 - 2
UXA
17%
21%
62%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
El Espinar-San Rafael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
MIR
1 - 1
ESR
45%
24%
31%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
ESR
2 - 3
SAL
52%
22%
26%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
AVI
2 - 3
ESR
22%
23%
55%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
ESR
2 - 1
CAS
74%
16%
10%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
ESR
0 - 2
VDB
36%
25%
40%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |