Navarro vs UP Langreo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
48.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navarro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
LEA
0 - 0
NAV
63%
22%
15%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
NAV
1 - 0
SIE
43%
27%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
AVI
1 - 1
NAV
51%
27%
22%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
NAV
1 - 2
SPB
28%
27%
45%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
RIB
2 - 0
NAV
59%
24%
18%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
UP Langreo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
UPL
2 - 0
COL
75%
18%
7%
|
40 | 14 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
UPL
1 - 0
LEA
47%
27%
27%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
SIE
2 - 2
UPL
28%
26%
46%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
UPL
3 - 2
AVI
58%
25%
17%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
SPB
1 - 0
UPL
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |