Navarro vs San Martín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navarro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
RIB
1 - 0
NAV
70%
19%
11%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
NAV
1 - 1
UNI
22%
25%
54%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
OVI
3 - 0
NAV
70%
19%
11%
|
24 | 68 | 44 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
NAV
0 - 0
BER
55%
22%
23%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
AVI
4 - 0
NAV
69%
20%
11%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
SMA
0 - 1
AST
16%
24%
60%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
HIS
1 - 0
SMA
56%
24%
20%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
SMA
2 - 3
MOS
17%
26%
57%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
AND
0 - 3
SMA
24%
27%
49%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
SMA
1 - 1
GIN
27%
28%
45%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +1 |