Naval vs Vitória SC B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
14.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
OLI
2 - 2
NAV
50%
26%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
NAV
1 - 0
PEN
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
NAV
1 - 3
ARO
50%
23%
28%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
GFC
1 - 2
NAV
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
LEX
4 - 3
NAV
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória SC B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
VSC
2 - 0
FEI
29%
28%
43%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2012 |
BEN
2 - 1
VSC
65%
22%
14%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
VSC
2 - 1
SAN
33%
30%
38%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
BRA
0 - 0
VSC
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
VSC
0 - 1
POR
42%
26%
33%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |