Naval vs Esposende analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2000 |
RIO
0 - 0
NAV
71%
19%
11%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
ACA
5 - 0
NAV
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2000 |
NAV
2 - 1
INF
82%
12%
7%
|
56 | 29 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
IMO
3 - 2
NAV
49%
25%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2000 |
INF
1 - 1
NAV
31%
24%
46%
|
57 | 29 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Esposende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
ESP
2 - 1
MAI
34%
26%
40%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
ESP
2 - 1
UNI
32%
27%
41%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
CHA
2 - 0
ESP
75%
16%
9%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
ESP
1 - 4
PAÇ
32%
27%
41%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
ESP
1 - 2
LEC
25%
25%
50%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |