Naval vs Carapinheirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
24.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
MAF
14 - 1
NAV
70%
20%
10%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
NAV
2 - 4
VIT
52%
22%
26%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
NAV
1 - 0
ALC
23%
24%
52%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
VIL
3 - 0
NAV
53%
21%
26%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
NAV
1 - 2
CAL
29%
27%
45%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Carapinheirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 0
VIL
23%
22%
55%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
CAL
0 - 0
CAR
67%
21%
12%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 0
OLE
43%
23%
35%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
ALC
0 - 0
CAR
71%
19%
11%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
MAF
1 - 0
CAR
72%
19%
9%
|
25 | 53 | 28 | 0 |