CDS Naval vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
27.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CDS Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
DEP
0 - 1
NTA
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
NTA
1 - 0
DCO
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
DLS
0 - 0
NTA
73%
17%
10%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
NTA
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
NTA
1 - 1
LOT
55%
24%
22%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
CON
1 - 0
LOT
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
HUA
1 - 1
CON
80%
14%
6%
|
51 | 76 | 25 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
MAG
3 - 2
CON
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
CON
0 - 1
SAN
36%
27%
37%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
CON
1 - 2
COQ
44%
27%
29%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |