CD Naval vs Sporting Celanova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.1%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
7.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
NOI
1 - 1
NAV
36%
25%
39%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1978 |
NAV
2 - 0
SAN
52%
27%
20%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
VDB
1 - 0
NAV
40%
24%
36%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1978 |
NAV
3 - 1
SIE
47%
29%
24%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1978 |
VAL
1 - 0
NAV
58%
26%
17%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Celanova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
SPO
1 - 0
TUR
32%
23%
45%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1978 |
GIM
2 - 0
SPO
84%
11%
6%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
SPO
0 - 2
PON
33%
23%
45%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1978 |
RAY
2 - 1
SPO
81%
12%
7%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1978 |
SPO
3 - 1
DEP
41%
24%
35%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +3 |