CD Naval vs Sámano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
SEL
1 - 1
NAV
14%
20%
66%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
NAV
2 - 0
GIM
28%
26%
47%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +3 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
NAV
1 - 0
SDT
48%
25%
28%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
ALB
1 - 1
NAV
26%
23%
51%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
NAV
2 - 0
ESC
28%
25%
47%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Sámano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
SAM
2 - 1
SIE
43%
25%
33%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 1
SAM
34%
26%
40%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
CUL
0 - 0
SAM
47%
24%
29%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
SAM
2 - 0
BAR
55%
22%
23%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 0
SAM
37%
24%
39%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |