CD Naval vs Reocin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
14.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
VEL
2 - 1
NAV
43%
23%
34%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
NAV
1 - 2
MER
50%
24%
27%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
REV
3 - 1
NAV
37%
25%
38%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
NAV
1 - 1
SDT
52%
23%
25%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
NAV
49%
24%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Reocin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
REO
2 - 1
SAM
20%
23%
57%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
SEL
2 - 0
REO
77%
15%
8%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
REO
1 - 1
COM
16%
22%
62%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
AYR
2 - 3
REO
70%
18%
11%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
REO
1 - 3
SAN
10%
19%
72%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | 0 |