CD Naval vs Apurtuarte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.4%
Win probability
3.45
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
6%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.2%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.5%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.9%
4.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1957 |
BAR
5 - 2
NAV
87%
9%
5%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1957 |
NAV
2 - 0
BSD
85%
10%
5%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1957 |
BFC
3 - 2
NAV
50%
21%
28%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1957 |
NAV
6 - 1
CDU
77%
14%
9%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1957 |
NAV
3 - 1
SDE
82%
11%
7%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Apurtuarte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1957 |
APU
0 - 0
POR
48%
22%
30%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1957 |
CDG
2 - 1
APU
79%
13%
8%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1957 |
APU
2 - 0
LAU
51%
21%
28%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 1957 |
DEU
0 - 1
APU
84%
10%
6%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1957 |
APU
1 - 2
CDP
50%
22%
29%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |