Náutico vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
20.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2006 |
GUA
2 - 2
NAU
47%
27%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2006 |
NAU
3 - 2
PAY
42%
25%
33%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
ATM
3 - 1
NAU
73%
17%
9%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2006 |
NAU
1 - 3
69%
17%
14%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
NAU
3 - 2
BRA
43%
26%
32%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2006 |
AVA
1 - 0
VIL
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
VIL
0 - 1
ITU
43%
27%
31%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
VIL
1 - 2
REM
60%
23%
18%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2006 |
FLU
4 - 0
VIL
77%
14%
8%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
GAM
2 - 0
VIL
43%
26%
32%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |