Náutico vs Serra Talhada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
5.9%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 0
NAU
21%
24%
55%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
NAU
0 - 1
SAL
75%
16%
9%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
NAU
0 - 0
SPO
47%
24%
29%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
YPI
0 - 0
NAU
12%
20%
69%
|
68 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 3
NAU
14%
21%
64%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Serra Talhada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SPO
5 - 0
SER
86%
10%
4%
|
41 | 71 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
SER
1 - 2
CEN
38%
26%
36%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SAL
1 - 1
SER
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SER
1 - 1
BEL
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
YPI
1 - 0
SER
46%
25%
30%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |