Náutico vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
29.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
ARN
2 - 1
NAU
27%
25%
48%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
NAU
1 - 0
FFL
32%
27%
42%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
BRA
3 - 0
NAU
37%
25%
37%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
NAU
0 - 2
DUQ
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2010 |
COT
3 - 1
NAU
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
PPE
1 - 2
SAO
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
SAO
0 - 0
BRA
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
IFC
4 - 1
SAO
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 0
ARN
71%
19%
10%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2010 |
FFL
1 - 0
SAO
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |